A report by the Senate called the State Department's choice to keep a US mission open in Benghazi a mistake. The report also faulted the intelligence community for a lack of specific information surrounding the deadly Sept. 11 attack in Libya, in which four Americans were killed.
By By Tabassum Zakaria,?Reuters / December 31, 2012
Sen. Dick Durbin, D-Ill., a member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, speaks to reporters following a closed-door briefing on the investigation of the deadly Sept. 11 attack on the US consulate in Benghazi, Libya, at the Capitol in Washington Dec. 19. A report released by the Senate today said the State Department was at fault for keeping the US mission in Benghazi open when it was under threat.
J. Scott Applewhite/AP
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The State Department's decision to keep the?U.S. mission?in Benghazi open despite inadequate security and increasingly dangerous threat assessments before it was attacked in September was a "grievous mistake," a?Senate?report said on Monday.
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The?Senate Homeland Security Committee's report about the Sept. 11 attacks on the?U.S. mission?and a nearby annex, which killed four Americans, including the U.S. ambassador to?Libya, faulted intelligence agencies for not having enough focus on Libyan extremists. It also faulted the State Department for waiting for specific warnings instead of acting on security.
The assessment follows a scathing report by an independent State Department accountability review board that resulted in a top security official and three others at the department stepping down.
The attack, in which U.S. Ambassador?Christopher Stevens?died, has put diplomatic security practices at posts in insecure areas under scrutiny and raised questions about whether intelligence on terrorism in the region was adequate.
The?Senate?report said the lack of specific intelligence of an imminent threat in Benghazi "may reflect a failure" in the intelligence community's focus on terrorist groups that have weak or no operational ties to al Qaeda and its affiliates.
"With?Osama bin Laden?dead and core al Qaeda weakened, a new collection of violent Islamist extremist organizations and cells have emerged in the last two to three years," the report said. That trend has been seen in the "Arab Spring" countries undergoing political transition or military conflict, it said.
WASHINGTON (AP) -- Agonizingly close to a New Year's Eve compromise, the White House and congressional Republicans agreed Monday to block across-the-board tax increases set for midnight, but held up a final deal as they haggled away the final hours of 2012 in a dispute over spending cuts.
"It appears that an agreement to prevent this New Year's tax hike is within sight," President Barack Obama said in an early-afternoon status report on negotiations. "But it's not done."
Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell ? shepherding final talks with Vice President Joe Biden ? agreed with Obama that an overall deal was near. In remarks on the Senate floor, he suggested Congress move quickly to pass tax legislation and "continue to work on finding smarter ways to cut spending" next year.
The White House and Democrats initially declined the offer, but several officials said they could reconsider.
While the deadline to prevent tax increases and spending cuts was technically midnight, passage of legislation by the time a new Congress takes office at noon on Jan. 3, 2013 ? the likely timetable ? would eliminate or minimize any inconvenience for taxpayers.
For now, more than the embarrassment of a gridlocked Congress working through New Year's Eve in the Capitol was at stake.
Economists in and out of government have warned that a combination of tax hikes and spending cuts could trigger a new recession, and the White House and Congress have spent the seven seeks since the Nov. 6 elections struggling for a compromise to protect the economy.
Even now, with time running out, partisan agendas were evident.
Obama used his appearance to chastise Congress, and to lay down a marker for the next round of negotiations early in 2013 when Republicans intend to seek spending cuts in exchange for letting the Treasury to borrow above the current debt limit of $16.4 trillion.
"Now, if Republicans think that I will finish the job of deficit reduction through spending cuts alone ? and you hear that sometimes coming from them ... then they've got another thing coming. ... That's not how it's going to work at least as long as I'm President," he said.
"And I'm going to be President for the next four years, I think," he added.
Officials in both parties said agreement had been reached to prevent tax increases on most Americans, while letting rates rise on individual income over $400,000 and household earnings over $450,000 to a maximum of 39.6 percent from the current 35 percent. That marked a victory for Obama, who campaigned successfully for re-election on a platform of requiring the wealthy to pay more.
Any agreement would also raise taxes on the value of estates exceeding $5 million to 40 percent, as well as extend expiring jobless benefits for two million unemployed, prevent a 27 percent cut in fees for doctors who treat Medicare patients and likely avoid a near-doubling of milk prices.
Much or all of the revenue to be raised through higher taxes on the wealthy would help hold down the amount paid to the Internal Revenue Service by the middle class.
In addition to preventing higher rates for most, any agreement would retain existing breaks for families with children, for low-earning taxpayers and for those with a child in college.
In addition, the two sides agreed to prevent the Alternative Minimum Tax from expanding to affect an estimated 28 million households for the first time in 2013, with an average increase of more than $3,000. The law was originally designed to make sure millionaires did not escape taxes, but inflation has gradually exposed more and more households with lower earnings to its impact.
To help businesses, the two sides also agreed to extend an existing research and development tax credit as well as other breaks designed to boost renewable energy production. Details on those provisions were sketchy.
Obama's remarks irritated some Republicans.
Sen. John McCain of Arizona they would "clearly antagonize members of the House."
There was no response from Speaker John Boehner, who has been content to remain in the background while McConnell did the negotiating.
Some Democratic officials said that with his comments, Obama was hoping to ease the concerns of liberals in his own party who feared he had given away too much in the current round of talks over taxes.
Obama campaigned on a call for higher tax rates on income over $200,000 for individuals and $250,000 for couples, far lower than the $400,000 and $450,000 that Biden and McConnell have set.
Similarly, the pending agreement on the estate tax would allow more large estates to escape taxation than many Democrats prefer.
By late afternoon, the two sides remained separated by a stubborn dispute over spending cuts scheduled to take effect on the Pentagon and domestic programs alike.
Officials familiar with the talks said the White House has been seeking agreement to stop the cuts from taking effect, either for a period of months or a year, and wanted to count higher taxes created elsewhere in the legislation to offset the cost.
Republicans have said they are willing to delay the across-the-board cuts, but only if Obama and Democrats agree to targeted savings from government programs to take their place.
_____
Associated Press writers Andrew Taylor, Alan Fram and Ben Feller contributed to this report.
President Obama took to the stage Monday to press Congress not to allow taxes to go up on middle-class taxpayers ? and he had a rambunctious group of them on hand to support him.
By Linda Feldmann,?Staff writer / December 31, 2012
President Obama smiles and gestures as he speaks about the 'fiscal cliff' Monday in the South Court Auditorium at the White House in Washington.
Carolyn Kaster/AP
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The campaign is over, but when President Obama stepped on stage Monday to make a statement on fiscal cliff negotiations, it felt more like a pep rally than a sober policy update on an issue of global import.
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The White House had packed the room, the South Court Auditorium in the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, with some 200 ?middle-class taxpayers? ? and rather rambunctious ones, at that. A handful stood behind Mr. Obama, the rest filled the auditorium?s seats.
It was a veritable security blanket of middle-class taxpayers, there as a visual show of force for the president as he seeks to reach a deal with the Republicans to avert the tax hikes and deep spending cuts that automatically go into effect at midnight Monday. One said she was invited after she had ?answered some questions? on the White House?s Y2K web page ? named for the $2,000 that each middle-class household would save by not having its taxes go up.
Clearly, this event had been days in the making, and it was reminiscent of other middle-class focused events and travels Obama has had since he won reelection Nov. 6. ?
?Thank you for having us!? one attendee shouted after Obama welcomed the group.
The middle-class taxpayers cheered and stood when the president took the stage, called out to him as he spoke, and gave him another standing ovation when he finished. The event was mildly newsworthy: The president announced that a deal was ?within sight, but it?s not done.?
?So as of this point, it looks like I'm going to be spending New Year's here in DC,? he said. ?You all are going to be hanging out in DC, too.?
At that point, someone in the crowd invited the president over for New Year?s Eve. ? ?I can come to your house? Is that what you said?? Obama said. ?I don't want to spoil the party.?
?You are the party!? the attendee shouted back, to laughter from the crowd.
Obama then sought to turn the event back to its central purpose: to focus on the middle class and how a return to Clinton-era tax rates for all but the wealthiest 2 percent would be painful. ? ?The people who are with me here today, the people who are watching at home, they need our leaders in Congress to succeed,? Obama said.
Later in the afternoon, Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell took to the Senate floor and echoed Obama?s statement: ?We are very, very close,? he said. But soon after, the news broke that the House would not vote on New Year?s Eve, meaning the United States will go over the edge of the cliff, at least temporarily. The hope, as of this writing, was that House and Senate leaders could gather enough votes to pass a deal early in 2013, and have it go into effect retroactively to Jan. 1.
And what about those middle-class taxpayers? Perhaps Obama is keeping them near at hand, just in case.
During an oddly jokey statement at the White House as the fiscal deadline bore down Monday afternoon, President Obama said, "I'm going to be president for the next four years. I?hope." He was warning Republicans that, yes, they'd have to deal with him for a while. But it was, to be sure, a strange moment. Could he actually have been joking about assassination? About impeachment? The?apocalypse? Or has everyone just had enough of these negotiations??
NEW YORK -- When revelers pack Times Square for the annual New Year's eve celebration on Monday night, police will observe a tradition of their own: giving them lots of company.
Each year, the New York Police Department assigns thousands of extra patrols to festivities ? in ways seen and unseen ? to control the crowd and watch for any signs of trouble. Hundreds of thousands of people from all over the world are expected to pack into the bow-tie stretch of streets in Midtown Manhattan to see the crystal ball drop and ring in 2013.
"We think it's the safest place in the world on New Year's Eve," Police Commissioner Raymond Kelly told The Associated Press ahead of the holiday.
Security in Times Square has become an obsession for the NYPD in the post-9/11 world, especially since the botched attempted car bombing there in the summer of 2010. More recently, details emerged in another case in Florida saying that one suspect considered Times Square as a potential target.
"Times Square is an iconic location that draws a significant number of people every day," Kelly said. "New Year's Eve is the apex of that, so we have to plan accordingly."
Kelly stressed that there are no specific terror threats related to a celebration televised across the globe. But believing that the so-called "Crossroads of the World" is always in the crosshairs of would-be terrorists, the nation's largest police department has turned securing the event into a science.
Hotels are a particular concern. The department has worked closely with managers, urging them to guard against anyone who might seek to check into a guest room and use it to launch a sniper or other type of attack.
"We ask them to monitor people coming into the hotels very closely," Kelly said.
In terms of crowd control, police noticed last year that revelers starting flocking to Times Square earlier in the day to hear rehearsals of performers scheduled for various telecasts.
"At one o'clock in the afternoon, there was a significant crowd," Kelly said. "It was really packed with people."
So this year, the department will adjust by posting more officers on the streets before nightfall, the commissioner said.
Along with the army of additional uniformed officers, police will use barriers to prevent overcrowding and for checkpoints to inspect vehicles, enforce a ban on alcohol and check handbags. Visitors will see bomb-sniffing dogs and heavily armed counter-terrorism teams. Rooftop patrols and NYPD helicopters will keep an eye on the crowd as well.
Other plainclothes officers are assigned to blend into the crowd. Many officers will be wearing palm-size radiation detectors designed to give off a signal if they detect evidence of a dirty bomb, an explosive intended to spread panic by creating a radioactive cloud.
The bomb squad and another unit specializing in chemical and biological threats will sweep hotels, theaters, construction sites and parking garages. They also will patrol the sprawling Times Square subway station.
The NYPD also will rely on a network of thousands of closed-circuit security cameras carpeting the roughly 1.7 square miles south of Canal Street, the subway system and parts of Midtown Manhattan.
Another annual practice: Sealing manhole covers and removing mailboxes to prevent anyone from using them to conceal an explosive or other device.
In 2010, Faisal Shahzad left a Nissan Pathfinder outfitted with a crude, homemade propane-and-gasoline bomb on a block teeming with tourists. The explosive malfunctioned, but the near-miss spread a wave of fear across the city. Authorities say Shahzad was backed by the Pakistani Taliban,
Shahzad was arrested and, after a guilty plea, sentenced to life in prison. But he warned, "Brace yourselves, because the war with Muslims has just begun."
Haneen Zoabi masuk dalam rombongan di iring-iringan kapal ke Gaza pada 2010.
Mahkamah Agung Israel memutuskan seorang anggota parlemen berdarah Arab, Haneen Zoabi, boleh mencalonkan diri dalam pemilihan umum bulan depan meskipun Komisi Pemilihan berusaha menggugurkannya.
Mahkamah Agung Israel dalam putusannya menyatakan landasan putusannya akan diumumkan di kemudian hari.
"Saya menyambut putusan ini," kata Zoabi seperti dikutip kantor berita AP, Minggu (30/12).
"Saya berharap putusan ini akan menghentikan fitnah politis," tambahnya.
Mahkamah Agung mengeluarkan putusan sebagai tanggapan atas upaya Komisi Pemilihan untuk mendiskualifikasi Haneen Zoabi dalam pemilihan umum Israel bulan depan.
Komisi menyatakan keberatan bila anggota parlemen perempuan itu mencalonkan diri lagi sebab pada 2010 dia turut serta dalam iring-iringan kapal yang berusaha menerobos blokade laut Israell di wilayah Jalur Gaza yang dikuasai faksi Hamas.
Iring-iringan kapal gagal menembus blokade dan sebaliknya diserang oleh pasukan militer Israel yang menewaskan sembialan warga Turki.
Zoabi membantah terlibat dalam kekerasan dan menegaskan dia berusaha melakukan mediasi dalam peristiwa itu.
Awal bulan ini Komisi Pemilihan memutuskan anggota parlemen warga Israel keturunan Arab itu dinyatakan tidak boleh mencalonkan diri.
Namun Zoabi mengajukan banding ke Mahkamah Agung dan Mahkamah Agung menolak keputusan Komisi Pemilihan.
JACKSON, Miss. (AP) ? Five young siblings and one adult died early Saturday when a sport utility vehicle went off an eastern Mississippi road and plunged into a rain-swollen creek, authorities said.
Neshoba County Sheriff Tommy Waddell said the victims appear to have drowned after their Dodge Durango left a county road 20 miles southeast of Philadelphia just after midnight Saturday.
Deputy County Coroner Marshall Prince identified the five children who died as 9-year-old Dasyanna John, 8-year-old Duane John, 7-year-old Bobby John, 4-year-old Quinton John, and 18-month-old Kekaimeas John. Family friend Diane Chickaway, 37, also died. The sheriff said all were members of the Mississippi Band of Choctaw Indians and lived in the Pearl River community east of Philadelphia, where the tribe operates a large casino complex.
The father of the children, Dewayne John, escaped the vehicle and remains hospitalized for hypothermia and water inhalation. The children's mother, Deanna Jim, and Chickaway's husband, Dale Chickaway, also survived. The group was traveling to Conehatta, another Choctaw community, with Dewayne John driving. Waddell said he has been tested to see if he was under the influence of alcohol, though he said official results aren't in. If officials decide to file charges, Waddell said they probably wouldn't act until Wednesday.
It appears none of the nine occupants of the vehicle were wearing seat belts or were in child restraints, the sheriff said.
"It's always sad to hear of the death of a tribal member, but today our tribe experienced a great tragedy with the loss of six beautiful Choctaw souls. I cannot begin to imagine what the friends, relatives and loved ones are feeling," Tribal Chief Phyliss J. Anderson said in a statement. "There are no words that can express our sincere condolences to such a horrific accident. I join many of you in the outpouring display of love and support shown to the families during this difficult time. Our thoughts and prayers are with them."
The crash happened on County Road 107, in a rural area near the Neshoba-Newton county line. Heavy rains have deluged the area in recent days, raising the water level of what Waddell described as a normally small creek. The SUV ran off the left side of the road into the creek near the Kitchner community.
The sheriff said it wasn't raining and there was no ice on the road. "This accident is not weather related at all," he said.
Divers from the Philadelphia fire department had to be called to find the submerged vehicle. Prince said the vehicle was pulled from the water after 3 a.m. In addition to the 30 emergency workers, about 20 Choctaw tribal members gathered at the site, he said.
"It looked like he has just run off the road and went into the water," Prince said. "It was deep and swift. The vehicle was completely submerged."
Waddell said the bodies have been sent to Jackson for autopsies. The Mississippi Highway Patrol will reconstruct the accident starting Sunday to learn more.
Tribal spokeswoman Misty Dreifuss said funeral arrangements would likely be made Sunday. She said the children are expected to be buried together. Dreifuss said word of the deaths spread quickly through the 10,000-member tribe and that members "definitely have been hit pretty hard."
Waddell said that he can't recall a deadlier accident in the county in his 26 years of law enforcement.
Drug abuse ? Some pharmacy Buyer Protection Work prohibits supply in America regarding controlled elements not determined by a physician. But, rogue drugstore websites outside the send out an incredible number of email marketing and some don?t adhere to US prescriptive laws. Warnings are already issued for you to more than 100 drugs online for transgression, but the legislation of demand and supply often beats attempts from the Federal Drug Relationship to squelch your access to medicines.
Access to online drugs has caused an immediate increase in drug abuse, dependency and the self-destructive factors to the addict, their loved ones as well as the community. We?ve been talking about remarkably addictive, effective OPIOID pain killers including OXYCODONE (OXYCONTIN) and those that contains HYDROCODONE (VICODIN), sedatives as well as tranquilizers, for example diazepam (Valium) along with LORAZEPAM (ATIVAN) and stimuli for example methylphenidate (Ritalin) which can be used to handle Attention Deficit Disorder (Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder) and insomnia issues. These are yet a small set of the mood/mind transforming prescription rank medications available on the web.
In 2011, the web celebrated their 20th bay. Globally, nearly 2.67 billion individuals are users having a gargantuan increase of 528% from Year 2000 to Next year. Internet users carry on growing at a quicker rate.
Drug abuse
Intercontinental and Marketing communications Technology has advantages but it also features horrific along with destructive factors such as online criminals, online bullies, cyber stalkers an internet-based sexual potential predators or innovators to name a few. A brand new growing pandemic is the escalation regarding prescription drug abuse.
Medications are rapidly replacing unlawful substances in college grounds. States with all the greatest growth in high-speed access to the internet had the most important increase involving admissions to treat drug abuse (Massachusetts Common Hospital, School of Los Angeles). Interestingly, while online health professional prescribed drug sales boost, admission with regard to abuse of booze, cocaine and also heroin got minimal or perhaps negative development rates.
Seniors are some of those most at risk of prescription drug abuse or perhaps misuse as they are prescribed far more medications when compared with younger people. Most people consider prescription medications sensibly: however, around 48 million individuals (ages 12 as well as older) purchased prescription drugs with regard to non-medical reasons within their lifetimes. Prescribed drugs are the 2nd most commonly over used category of medicines, behind cannabis and in front of cocaine, narcotics, methamphetamine along with other drugs.
The nation?s Institute involving Health quotations that nearly 20% of individuals in yours manipulate prescription drugs with regard to non-medical reasons, steroid ointment abuse is also going up, men statement higher charges of steroid ointment use compared to women perform. Prescription drug abuse is normally the same among men and women, other than among 12 in order to 17 year olds. Within this age group, investigation conducted with the National Start on Drug Abuse learned that females are more inclined to use psychotherapeutic medications for non-medical functions. Research has additionally shown that ladies in general may use drug pain relievers and also tranquilizers for non-medical reasons.
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Thanks to guest blogger, Lisa Alzo, for the article below.
I don?t know about you, but I can?t believe that we are just days away from saying ?so long? to 2012! The festivities surrounding New Year?s Eve often prompt us to make resolutions (I prefer to use ?set goals?). If you?re looking to improve your genealogical research and writing skills in the New Year, here are 13 (for 2013) easy resolutions you can make and keep!
1. Make a plan. Do your past research habits include just randomly typing names into online databases, or Googling an ancestor?s surname? Then it may be time to change them. Developing a Research Plan to focus your research tasks and keep a research log to track your searches. Not sure how? ?Plan Your Way to Research Success? (on CD) can help get you started.
2. Clean up your family tree. As genealogists, it?s useful to review our family trees for incomplete or incorrect data that can impede future research success. If you don?t have a copy of Legacy Family Tree 7.5, consider investing in it now, or if you?re already a Legacy 7.0 user, don?t forget about the free update.
3. Tidy your sources. Slacking off on those proper source citations? The New Year is the perfect time to remedy this bad habit. Learn how with a copy of Evidence Explained.
4. Back up your data. Start the year off right by backing up your family tree, digital images, and critical research documents. Make an appointment to do this regularly. Get advice from Thomas MacEntee?s Webinar-on-CD.
5. Contact those cousins! You never know who holds the missing pieces of your family history puzzle. Social media makes it easier than ever to reach out to relatives and find family?do it before it?s too late! Use Legacy Family Tree's Interview Questions (over 1,200 to choose from) to ask just the right questions.
6. Record family stories. This year, go beyond the ?name gathering? and dig deeper to learn answers to the ?Why?? questions. Using an app like Saving Memories Forever makes it easy.
7. Scan those photographs! In 2012, we were sadly reminded that disasters happen and how painful it is to lose precious family photographs. Learn how to scan and preserve them with a copy of Digital Imaging Essentials by Geoff Rasmussen.
8. Join a genealogical/historical society. Not everything is online! These organizations offer untapped resources and networking opportunities. Check with the Federation of Genealogical Societies or use Google to find one you like.
9. Explore a new resource. Using the same databases over and over? Learn about new resources and techniques for finding female ancestors, using land & property records, Croatian genealogy, and more, with Legacy Family Tree?s QuickGuides?.
10. Attend a conference. Whether it?s your local society?s seminar, or a national conference, try to make at least one 2013 event. Check Conference Keepers for a list. Can?t leave home? There are live streaming events (e.g. from RootsTech), and Legacy Webinars (see #13).
11. Attack a brick wall. Dedicate 2013 to defining a brick wall research problem and make plans to attack it head on. Get help from the Legacy Brick Walls Bundle CDs.
12. Publish your research. Take your research beyond the ?boxes and lines? and considering sharing your findings in a blog or a book. Learn how with the ?Ready, Set, Write!? CD.
13. Learn something new. Legacy Family Tree?s 2013 Webinar schedule has more than 40 classes from genealogy's leading educators. With over 60 hours of free genealogy education, there?s no excuse not to improve your knowledge or skills!
Wishing you an abundance of genealogical success in 2013!
Getting married? Here's some advice on choosing your wedding party from the book "Where to Seat Aunt Edna and 500 Other Great Wedding Tips" (Hundreds of Heads Books,
www.hundredsofheads.com, $13.95), straight from people who've done it:
Advice on weddings in the book ?Where to Seat Aunt Edna and 500 Other Great Wedding Tips? (Hundreds of Heads Books, www.hundredsofheads.com, $13.95), comes straight from people who've done it:
FILE PHOTO
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If you are a control freak like me, you are probably going to have a nervous breakdown at some point leading up to your wedding. You are going to have no control over the interpersonal interactions that will happen at your wedding; make a conscious decision to let go. The day before my wedding, I lost it. It was mainly because my mother-in-law said something about how my mother should have done something, and I understood that I would not be able to be the social buffer that I usually am at family gatherings. All these people would be in one place, and I would have no control over what happened. My mother had to sit me down and tell me very firmly that people would look after themselves, and I had to let go or I would have a horrible time.
? Summer Daniels, San Francisco, Calif.; number of wedding guests: 95
Don't focus on what the wedding should be like; focus on what the marriage should be like. Wedding logistics take a lot of time, but talking about your future is so much more essential.
? Kathleen Pearce, Portsmouth, N.H.
Don't get a kitten two weeks before your wedding: My fianc?e pulled that one. We already had a dog, and then she came home with this kitten. So for several nights leading up to the wedding we got approximately two hours of sleep while the dog chased the kitten, or the kitten attacked our feet. We had the kitten on a trial run, thankfully, so we gave it back and it found a home with people who didn't need as much sleep as we did and weren't planning the biggest day of their lives.
? J.A., Atlanta, Ga.;
number of wedding guests: 200
Don't neglect your spouse-to-be. Make sure you remember that the two of you are still in a relationship. Make those special dinners, clean the house, buy her flowers ? treat her as if you just started dating. Doing so will relax her and get you to your wedding.
? Aaron Blank, Seattle, Wash.; number of wedding guests: 125
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Ryan Vlastelica, Edward Krudy and Doris Frankel, Reuters
Investors fearing a stock market plunge if the U.S. tumbles off the "fiscal cliff" next week may want to relax.
But they should be scared if a few weeks later Washington fails to reach a deal to raise the nation's debt ceiling as that threatens a default, another credit downgrade and a financial markets panic.
Market strategists say that falling off the cliff for any lengthy period -- which would lead to automatic tax hikes and stiff cuts in government spending?--?would badly dent both consumer and business confidence, but?it would take some time for the U.S. economy to slide into recession. In the meantime, there would be plenty of chances for lawmakers to make amends by reversing some of the effects.
That has been reflected in a U.S. stock market that has still not shown signs of melting down. Instead, it has drifted lower and gotten more volatile.
In some ways, that has let Washington off the hook. In the past, a plunge in stock prices forced the hand of Congress, such as in the middle of the financial crisis in 2008.
"If this thing continues for a bit longer and the result is you get a U.S. debt downgrade ... the risk is not that you lose two and half percent, the risk is that you lose ten and a half," said Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. equity strategist at UBS Equity Research in New York.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner said earlier?this??week that the United States will technically reach its debt limit at the end of the year.
'Tremendous fight' The White House has said it will not negotiate the debt ceiling as in 2011, when the fight over what was once a procedural matter preceded the first-ever downgrade of the U.S. credit rating, but it may be forced into such a battle again. A repeat of that war is most worrisome for markets.
Markets posted several days of sharp losses in the period surrounding the debt ceiling fight in 2011. Even after a bill to increase the ceiling passed, stocks plunged in what was seen as a vote of no confidence in Washington's ability to function, given how close lawmakers came to a default.
Credit ratings agency Standard & Poor's lowered the U.S. sovereign rating to double-A-plus, citing Washington's legislative problems as one reason for the downgrade. The benchmark S&P 500 dropped 16 percent in a four-week period ending Aug. 21, 2011.
"I think there will be a tremendous fight between Democrats and Republicans about the debt ceiling," said Jon Najarian, a co-founder of online brokerage TradeMonster.com in Chicago.
"I think that is the biggest risk to the downside in January for the market and the U.S. economy."
There are some signs in the options market that investors are starting to eye the January period with more wariness. The CBOE Volatility Index, or the VIX, the market's favored anxiety indicator, has remained at relatively low levels throughout this process, though on Thursday it edged above 20 for the first time since July.
More notable is the action in VIX futures markets, which shows a sharper increase in expected volatility in January than in later-dated contracts. January VIX futures are up nearly 23 percent in the last seven trading days, compared with a 13 percent increase in March futures and an 8 percent increase in May futures. That's a sign of increasing near-term worry among market participants.
Consumers don't appear at all traumatized by the fiscal cliff talks, as yet. Helping to bolster consumer confidence has been a continued recovery in the housing market and growth in the labor market, albeit slow.
The latest employment take will be out Friday, and the Labor Department is expected to show jobs growth of 145,000 for December, in line with recent growth.
Consumers will see their paychecks affected if lawmakers cannot broker a deal and tax rates rise, but the effect on spending is likely to be gradual.
Negotiations ongoing President Barack Obama met with?congressional leaders from both parties Friday?for discussions about the fiscal cliff, and the House of Representatives is set to convene Sunday and continue working through the New Year. Obama has proposed maintaining current tax rates for all but the highest earners.
Options strategists have noted an increase in positions to guard against weakness in defense stocks such as General Dynamics, as those stocks would be affected by spending cuts set for that sector. Notably, though, the PHLX Defense Index is less than 1 percent away from an all-time high reached Dec. 20.
This underscores the view taken by most investors and strategists: One way or another, Washington will come to an agreement to offset some effects of the cliff. The result will not be entirely satisfying, but it will be enough to satisfy investors.
"Expectations are pretty low at this point and yet the equity market hasn't reacted," said Carmine Grigoli, chief U.S. investment strategist at Mizuho Securities USA. "You're not going to see the markets react to anything with more than a 5 to 7 percent correction."
Markets, for the most part, have not shown the same kind of volatility as in 2008 or 2011.
A gradual decline remains possible, Golub said, if business and consumer confidence continues to take a hit on the back of fiscal cliff worries. The Conference Board's measure of consumer confidence fell sharply in December, a drop blamed in part on the fiscal issues.
"If Congress came out and said that everything is off the table, yeah, that would be a short-term shock to the market, but that's not likely," said Richard Weiss, a Mountain View, Calif.-based senior money manager at American Century Investments.
"Things will be resolved, just maybe not on a good time table. All else being equal, we see any further decline as a buying opportunity."?
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#1 ? Dcudds?
Group:Members
Joined:20-December 12
Posted Today, 11:55 AM
Opponent
Auburn ? SEC Record ? 0-0 (Conference) 5-6 (Overall)
Quality Wins
None
Rankings
Points per game ? 67.2 (192nd) < vs. Illini 76.6 (45th) Rebounds per game ? 36.6 (121st) > vs. Illini 36.5 (124th) Assists per game ? 13.6 (131st) > vs. Illini 11.8 (250th) FG% - .421 (232nd) < vs. Illini .443 (141st)
Major Players
6-4 Sr Guard ? Brandon Paul ? 19.2 ppg, .444 FG%, .385 3P% 6-3 Sr Guard ? D.J. Richardson ? 11.2 ppg, .357 FG%, .326 3P% 6-2 Jr Guard ? Chris Denson ? 17 ppg, .575 FG%, .286 3P% 6-1 Sr Guard ? Frankie Sullivan ? 16.9 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 3.6 apg
Interesting Stats
1. Free-throw attempts: UI ? 239 (71%) vs. Auburn ? 210 (71%) 2. TO?s per game: UI ? 12 vs. Auburn ? 14 3. Steals per game: UI ? 8 vs. Auburn ? 8
More Stats
1. Auburn has attempted 192 treys compared to UI?s 343. 2. Auburn is averaging 34% from behind the arc versus UI?s 37%. 3. Auburn has collected 139 offensive rebounds compared to UI?s 160. 4. Auburn has collected 264 defensive rebounds compared to UI?s 314.
Gunners
Noel Johnson ? 18 of 38 shooting 47% Frankie Sullivan ? 17 of 67 shooting 25% Brandon Paul ? 35 of 91 shooting 39% DJ Richardson ? 31 of 95 shooting 33%
Cudds keys to winning:
1. We need to protect the basketball because Auburn does a decent job of creating TO?s and minimize the unforced TO?s. Auburn has four players that average a steal per game and another two that are on the cusp at .9 spg. Allen Payne (1.6 spg) and Josh Wallace (1.5 spg) are Auburn?s two best players at creating steals. Brandon Paul (2.7 tpg) and Tracy Abrams (2.9 tpg) need to do a good job of protecting the basketball and limiting the TO?s as well as the rest of the team.
2. Keep Chris Denson from getting into the lane and scoring on the free-throw line. He?s only played in the last four games and Auburn is 3-1 with a loss to Bowling Green. He?s a scorer and a very good one when getting into the paint (.575 FG%). In four games he?s got to the free-throw line 27 times, but from behind the arc he?s only shooting .286 3P%. That may be deceiving though, he?s only put up seven shots from behind the arc. Regardless, I?d like to keep him in front of me and out of the lane.
3. Turn up the heat on defense. Auburn is TO prone and I?d like to see us create a minimum of 15 TO?s with our defense. Frankie Sullivan is Auburn?s Phil Pressey and he?s averaging 3.1 TO?s per game. Auburn is not an impressive passing team similar to the Illini (14 apg to 14 tpg this year). Brandon Paul (1.5 spg), DJ Richardson (1.5 spg), and Tracy Abrams (1.4 spg) will have the opportunity to get steals and hopefully we can capitalize in transition and score some easy buckets.
4. Let?s do a better job of scoring the basketball. I thought we played with good pace against Missouri and the majority of the time took decent shots. We put up seventy-four shots against Missouri and hopefully we can get to seventy shots again versus Auburn. Unfortunately we only connected on twenty-five of those shots and thirty-two of the seventy-four were behind the arc. I?m okay with shooting that many threes because that?s what defines this team, but we only connected on eight of those thirty-two bombs and that?s pretty bad. In games like that, we need more balance and hopefully other players, besides Brandon, will understand that and put the ball on the floor and drive to the basket.
5. We need more production off the bench. Against Missouri, Bertrand was the only player to score off the bench with thirteen points. Sam McLaurin only had two rebounds in fourteen minutes and Henry added only one stat to his line with one TO in five minutes. The bench needs to step up against Auburn and give Coach Groce more production going into the Big Ten season.
Final Score
UI ? 72 Auburn - 59
0
#2 ? kzimmer001?
Group:Members
Joined:01-August 08
Posted Today, 12:04 PM
Totally pumped for this game, I think Illinois plays well, start to finish and puts a hurt on Auburn. As much as Auburn can create turnovers, I think the Illini perimter guys will get a lot of deflections and easy point opportunities. ILL 80 AUB 65
0
#3 ? Dcudds?
Group:Members
Joined:20-December 12
Posted Today, 12:13 PM
kzimmer001, on 28 December 2012 - 12:04 PM, said:
Totally pumped for this game, I think Illinois plays well, start to finish and puts a hurt on Auburn. As much as Auburn can create turnovers, I think the Illini perimter guys will get a lot of deflections and easy point opportunities. ILL 80 AUB 65
Let's get this win buddy!
0
#4 ? illiniphil85?
Group:Members
Joined:20-February 09
Posted Today, 12:30 PM
Thx for posting these cudds.
0
#5 ? illinicalvin?
Group:Members
Joined:20-January 10
Posted Today, 12:33 PM
This is such a better read than the CI2 previews.
0
#6 ? Ski Team?
Group:Members
Joined:01-August 08
Posted Today, 12:35 PM
Thanks for the writeup, Dcudds. Very thorough and a good read. A couple of points...
1. I wouldn't call a guy who has taken 38 shots in 11 games a gunner. That's less than 3.5 shots per game.
2. "scoring the basketball." Gawd, I HATE that term. Score points? Yes. Score baskets or buckets? Okay. But I've yet to see anyone scoring a basketball. Sadly, almost everyone uses that term now. Please don't take this personally; I just hate the phrase.
Illinois should blow Auburn away, but I've seen us play down to the level of their competition too many times this year. We need a blowout win to show our resiliency from the Mizzou game.
0
#7 ? ChainsawFan?
Group:Members
Joined:01-August 08
Posted Today, 12:36 PM
?illinicalvin, on 28 December 2012 - 12:33 PM, said:
This is such a better read than the CI2 previews.
But he has MS Paint versions of Self, Crean, and Tisdale doing unusual things even when they're in no way involved in the upcoming game!
0
#8 ? Big10Man?
Group:Members
Joined:27-March 11
Posted Today, 12:40 PM
This group of players should not lose to a team that is 5-6 ... especially at the UC. With Groce on the bench, I am not worried about them being focused.
0
#9 ? Dcudds?
Group:Members
Joined:20-December 12
Posted Today, 12:45 PM
illiniphil85, on 28 December 2012 - 12:30 PM, said:
Thx for posting these cudds.
No problem Illiniphil85, let's get this win tomorrow!
0
#10 ? Dcudds?
Group:Members
Joined:20-December 12
Posted Today, 12:47 PM
illinicalvin, on 28 December 2012 - 12:33 PM, said:
This is such a better read than the CI2 previews.
Thanks Illinicalvin, CI2 is pretty damn good at what he does.
0
#11 ? Dcudds?
Group:Members
Joined:20-December 12
Posted Today, 12:54 PM
Ski Team, on 28 December 2012 - 12:35 PM, said:
Thanks for the writeup, Dcudds. Very thorough and a good read. A couple of points...
1. I wouldn't call a guy who has taken 38 shots in 11 games a gunner. That's less than 3.5 shots per game.
2. "scoring the basketball." Gawd, I HATE that term. Score points? Yes. Score baskets or buckets? Okay. But I've yet to see anyone scoring a basketball. Sadly, almost everyone uses that term now. Please don't take this personally; I just hate the phrase.
Illinois should blow Auburn away, but I've seen us play down to the level of their competition too many times this year. We need a blowout win to show our resiliency from the Mizzou game.
I agree, he's not a gunner in that he's putting up 3PA like DJ or Brandon, but I always look at the opponents two top 3PA shooters. He's only put up 38, but he's a good shooter. Hopefully we can limit his looks tomorrow.
Sorry you dislike the term "scoring the basketball." I got a chuckle out of that one. lol. I'd love to see us blow out Auburn tomorrow and we have the talent to do it. Whether we win by ten or more, I just want to see some improvement from the Missouri game, especially with our FG% and bench scoring/production.
0
#12 ? CUtoCU?
Group:Members
Joined:21-February 12
Posted Today, 01:12 PM
illinicalvin, on 28 December 2012 - 12:33 PM, said:
This is such a better read than the CI2 previews.
CI2 is not a substantive sports poster, strictly comedic.
0
#14 ? Sharpie?
Group:Members
Joined:01-July 09
Posted Today, 03:26 PM
Dcudds, on 28 December 2012 - 11:55 AM, said:
Opponent
Auburn ? SEC Record ? 0-0 (Conference) 5-6 (Overall)
Quality Wins
None
Rankings
Points per game ? 67.2 (192nd) < vs. Illini 76.6 (45th) Rebounds per game ? 36.6 (121st) > vs. Illini 36.5 (124th) Assists per game ? 13.6 (131st) > vs. Illini 11.8 (250th) FG% - .421 (232nd) < vs. Illini .443 (141st)
Major Players
6-4 Sr Guard ? Brandon Paul ? 19.2 ppg, .444 FG%, .385 3P% 6-3 Sr Guard ? D.J. Richardson ? 11.2 ppg, .357 FG%, .326 3P% 6-2 Jr Guard ? Chris Denson ? 17 ppg, .575 FG%, .286 3P% 6-1 Sr Guard ? Frankie Sullivan ? 16.9 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 3.6 apg
Interesting Stats
1. Free-throw attempts: UI ? 239 (71%) vs. Auburn ? 210 (71%) 2. TO?s per game: UI ? 12 vs. Auburn ? 14 3. Steals per game: UI ? 8 vs. Auburn ? 8
More Stats
1. Auburn has attempted 192 treys compared to UI?s 343. 2. Auburn is averaging 34% from behind the arc versus UI?s 37%. 3. Auburn has collected 139 offensive rebounds compared to UI?s 160. 4. Auburn has collected 264 defensive rebounds compared to UI?s 314.
Gunners
Noel Johnson ? 18 of 38 shooting 47% Frankie Sullivan ? 17 of 67 shooting 25% Brandon Paul ? 35 of 91 shooting 39% DJ Richardson ? 31 of 95 shooting 33%
Cudds keys to winning:
1. We need to protect the basketball because Auburn does a decent job of creating TO?s and minimize the unforced TO?s. Auburn has four players that average a steal per game and another two that are on the cusp at .9 spg. Allen Payne (1.6 spg) and Josh Wallace (1.5 spg) are Auburn?s two best players at creating steals. Brandon Paul (2.7 tpg) and Tracy Abrams (2.9 tpg) need to do a good job of protecting the basketball and limiting the TO?s as well as the rest of the team.
2. Keep Chris Denson from getting into the lane and scoring on the free-throw line. He?s only played in the last four games and Auburn is 3-1 with a loss to Bowling Green. He?s a scorer and a very good one when getting into the paint (.575 FG%). In four games he?s got to the free-throw line 27 times, but from behind the arc he?s only shooting .286 3P%. That may be deceiving though, he?s only put up seven shots from behind the arc. Regardless, I?d like to keep him in front of me and out of the lane.
3. Turn up the heat on defense. Auburn is TO prone and I?d like to see us create a minimum of 15 TO?s with our defense. Frankie Sullivan is Auburn?s Phil Pressey and he?s averaging 3.1 TO?s per game. Auburn is not an impressive passing team similar to the Illini (14 apg to 14 tpg this year). Brandon Paul (1.5 spg), DJ Richardson (1.5 spg), and Tracy Abrams (1.4 spg) will have the opportunity to get steals and hopefully we can capitalize in transition and score some easy buckets.
4. Let?s do a better job of scoring the basketball. I thought we played with good pace against Missouri and the majority of the time took decent shots. We put up seventy-four shots against Missouri and hopefully we can get to seventy shots again versus Auburn. Unfortunately we only connected on twenty-five of those shots and thirty-two of the seventy-four were behind the arc. I?m okay with shooting that many threes because that?s what defines this team, but we only connected on eight of those thirty-two bombs and that?s pretty bad. In games like that, we need more balance and hopefully other players, besides Brandon, will understand that and put the ball on the floor and drive to the basket.
5. We need more production off the bench. Against Missouri, Bertrand was the only player to score off the bench with thirteen points. Sam McLaurin only had two rebounds in fourteen minutes and Henry added only one stat to his line with one TO in five minutes. The bench needs to step up against Auburn and give Coach Groce more production going into the Big Ten season.
Final Score
UI ? 72 Auburn - 59
Good stuff. My only hope is for an easy win so the bench can get some meaningful game action before B1G play begins.
0
#15 ? PBLIllini?
Group:Members
Joined:30-August 08
Posted Today, 03:57 PM
Dcudds, on 28 December 2012 - 12:47 PM, said:
Thanks Illinicalvin, CI2 is pretty damn good at what he does.
Not really. He is a clown that does it in crayon.
But I do agree that your write up was good.
0
#16 ? lou do?
Group:Members
Joined:18-November 09
Posted Today, 07:30 PM
I want to go to the game tomorrow, but don't have ticks. If we don't get in, does anyone know of an Illini bar in the city?
? 
kzimmer001, on 28 December 2012 - 12:04 PM, said:
?